Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#118
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#108
Pace67.2#196
Improvement+4.5#23

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#123
Improvement+1.3#102

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#115
Improvement+3.2#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 335   UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-46 95%     1 - 0 +7.7 -7.4 -6.7
  Nov 13, 2010 148   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-86 44%     1 - 1 -7.5 +2.4 +1.5
  Nov 14, 2010 244   Eastern Kentucky L 59-64 OT 77%     1 - 2 -9.7 -2.9 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2010 167   @ Ball St. L 60-75 50%     1 - 3 -12.0 +0.9 +1.5
  Nov 20, 2010 122   @ Oral Roberts W 74-69 39%     2 - 3 +10.9 +2.9 +3.3
  Nov 27, 2010 116   Buffalo W 58-54 62%     3 - 3 +3.9 -0.6 +0.7
  Nov 30, 2010 8   @ Notre Dame L 72-81 7%     3 - 4 +10.9 +9.7 +9.8
  Dec 04, 2010 224   @ Wyoming L 51-81 62%     3 - 5 -30.1 -0.9 -0.7
  Dec 08, 2010 194   DePaul W 73-51 77%     4 - 5 +17.2 -2.4 -1.4
  Dec 18, 2010 6   Purdue L 52-65 10%     4 - 6 +4.4 +7.7 +9.1
  Dec 29, 2010 196   Bradley W 80-66 78%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +8.9 -2.5 -2.0
  Jan 01, 2011 184   @ Evansville L 59-64 54%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -2.9 +0.3 +1.6
  Jan 04, 2011 236   Illinois St. W 72-57 84%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +7.5 -3.0 -3.6
  Jan 07, 2011 127   Northern Iowa W 70-45 63%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +24.4 +0.0 +0.7
  Jan 09, 2011 205   @ Drake W 62-57 60%     8 - 7 4 - 1 +5.4 -0.1 +0.8
  Jan 12, 2011 196   @ Bradley W 59-53 57%     9 - 7 5 - 1 +7.3 +0.2 +1.4
  Jan 16, 2011 119   Creighton W 61-59 62%     10 - 7 6 - 1 +1.8 -0.3 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2011 79   Missouri St. W 70-69 50%     11 - 7 7 - 1 +3.9 +1.6 +1.4
  Jan 22, 2011 63   @ Wichita St. L 83-93 3OT 21%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +1.5 +5.2 +6.0
  Jan 26, 2011 184   Evansville L 63-66 76%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -7.3 -2.2 -2.3
  Jan 29, 2011 119   @ Creighton L 69-83 38%     11 - 10 7 - 4 -7.9 +2.7 +2.8
  Feb 01, 2011 63   Wichita St. L 54-70 42%     11 - 11 7 - 5 -10.9 +2.0 +2.3
  Feb 05, 2011 79   @ Missouri St. L 66-73 27%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +2.2 +4.5 +4.4
  Feb 09, 2011 236   @ Illinois St. W 56-46 65%     12 - 12 8 - 6 +8.9 -0.8 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2011 205   Drake W 75-63 80%     13 - 12 9 - 6 +6.1 -2.5 -2.8
  Feb 16, 2011 230   @ Southern Illinois W 77-72 63%     14 - 12 10 - 6 +4.6 -0.2 +0.0
  Feb 19, 2011 98   Morehead St. L 65-71 56%     14 - 13 -4.7 +0.6 +0.4
  Feb 22, 2011 127   @ Northern Iowa W 76-74 39%     15 - 13 11 - 6 +7.8 +3.1 +2.8
  Feb 26, 2011 230   Southern Illinois W 75-60 82%     16 - 13 12 - 6 +8.3 -3.0 -3.0
  Mar 04, 2011 184   Evansville W 52-50 65%     17 - 13 +0.9 -1.4 +0.3
  Mar 05, 2011 63   Wichita St. W 61-54 30%     18 - 13 +15.3 +3.7 +4.9
  Mar 06, 2011 79   Missouri St. W 60-56 38%     19 - 13 +10.1 +2.9 +3.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.0 29.9 62.4 7.7
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 29.9 62.4 7.7